Forecast Skill

Unlike error statistics, skill statistics provide a measure of forecast performance relative to some reference. 

 

Measures            

Range

Optimal

Forecast Type

Root Mean Squared Error Skill Score (RMSESS)

- ∞ to 1

1

Deterministic

Brier Skill Score (BSS)

- ∞ to 1

1

Probabilistic

Ranked Probability Skill Score (RPSS)

- ∞ to 1

1

Probabilistic

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