Forecast Confidence

Confidence statistics provide a measure of the certainty that the forecast value will fall within the expected range of values. The degree of confidence is related to the number of samples in the data set.

 

Measures           

Range

Optimal

Forecast Type

Sample Size

1 to ∞

Large #

Deterministic/ Probabilistic

Confidence Interval

0 to ∞

Small

Deterministic/ Probabilistic

Confidence Level

0 to 100%

100%

Deterministic/ Probabilistic

 

 

 

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