Categorical Forecasts
Categorical forecast verification uses forecast and observation pairs based on threshold criteria. A variety of statistical measures are computed.
|
Measures |
Range |
Optimal |
Forecast Type |
POD |
0 to 1 |
1 |
Deterministic |
POFD |
0 to 1 |
0 |
Deterministic |
FAR |
0 to 1 |
0 |
Deterministic |
CSI |
0 to 1 |
1 |
Deterministic |
Bias |
0 to ∞ |
1 |
Deterministic |
Brier's Score |
0 to 1 |
0 |
Probabilistic |
Ranked Probability Score (RPS) |
0 to ∞ |
0 |
Probabilistic |
Normalized RPS |
0 to 1 |
0 |
Probabilistic |