Conditional Measures

Conditional verification measures provide information about the performance of forecasts, or forecast probabilities, given a certain event or condition. 

Measures            

Range

Optimal

Forecast Type

Reliability Diagram

NA

Reliability Diagram Optimal
Plots along diagonal

Deterministic/ Probabilistic
Forecast Sharpness
NA
Good forecast sharpness example
 Probabilistic

Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC)

0 to 1

Value = 1
ROC Optimal
Plot goes to upper left

Deterministic/ Probabilistic

Forecast Discrimination

NA

Forecast Discrimination Optimal

Deterministic/ Probabilistic
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