Overview

This case presents a precipitation type forecasting challenge over New Brunswick, Canada. The time period is from 01-03 February, 2003. As a winter storm moves into the area, you'll be asked to look at various observations and model data in order to forecast precipitation type and issue any severe winter weather warnings. You'll be looking at NWP precipitation type forecasts, applying partial thickness analysis to model data, and making use of the top-down Method for forecasting precipitation type.

Geographic Location : Canadian  Maritime Provinces - New Brunswick

Case Time Frame: 1200 UTC  0l February 2003 - 0000 UTC 03 February

Phenomenon of Interest: Precipitation Type

Forecasting Challenges:

  • Understand the limitations of NWP models in precipitation type forecasts.
  • Apply partial thickness analysis for forecasting precipitation type.
  • Apply the top-down Method for forecasting precipitation type.