Overview

This case begins while starting a shift at 0300 UTC on 01 Dec 2000 in the Arctic Forecasting Centre in Edmonton, Canada. Familiarize yourself with the setting for this case by reviewing the Case Profile.

Location of Interest

Hudson and Ungava Bay Region, Northern Canada

Map of Hudson Bay Region, Northeastern Canada

Case Time Frame

0000 UTC 01 Dec 2000-0000 UTC 03 Dec 2000

Phenomena of Interest

Polar Lows

Forecasting Challenges
  • Recognize the synoptic scale precursors of polar lows
  • Recognize the low-level surface features that are conducive to the development of polar lows
  • Recognize the development of a polar low from observations. Identify polar lows using satellite imagery
  • Understand the limitations of model initialization and output for polar low forecasting
  • Apply understanding of polar low steering mechanisms to a tracking forecast

Case Profile
Introduction to the case setting with a synoptic overview.

Case Challenge
A series of forecasting questions accompanied by a rich set of of data and background content to challenge forecasting skills.

Case Summary
An expert's overview of the case as it unfolded.

Resources
Bibliography and links to more information on Polar Lows.