Media elements used in this module are protected by a variety of copyright licenses. Please use the "copyright terms" link associated with each item below for more information.
Description:
screen grab of the Ensemble Situational Awareness Table (ESAT) showing the drop-down menus
File Name:
esat_fields.jpg
Credits:
NOAA
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
screen grab of the Ensemble Situational Awareness Table (ESAT)
File Name:
esat_intro.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing GEFS QPF M-Climate output, with M-Climo and Ens CDFs for a particular location for 3 months centered on 5 May overlaid
File Name:
ESAT_P24_EnsVMClimate.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table for NAEFS Mean Precipitable Water (in) and Climatological Percentile
HOUR 102 - VALID 06:00 UTC Tues Apr 25 2017 overlaid with reanalysis climatology and climatological percentil hour 102, valid 06 UTC 25 Apr 2017
File Name:
ESAT_PWpct.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table for NAEFS mean precip water and return interval hr 090 valid 06 UTC Tues Apr 25 2017
File Name:
ESAT_PWrtnint.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table, GEFS Ensemble Mean SLP forecast valid 06 UTC 25 April 2017, with red X for questions
File Name:
ESAT_PWvt2017042506_quest.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing 120-hour forecast and the probability of extreme MSLP, with hypothetical climatological and EFS PDFs shown for location X, maximum and minimum climatological values annotated, and extreme low portion of the EFS PDF highlighted
File Name:
ESAT_SLPprob2.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Top portion of Ensemble Situation Awareness Table, with link to Verification statistics labeled.
File Name:
ESAT_veriflabel.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS/WRH
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Hypothetical probability distribution and cumulative distribution functions for high confidence extreme event versus low confidence extreme event
File Name:
fcstconf_extrevents.jpg
Credits:
©The COMET Program
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
00 UTC 4 February Global Ensemble Forecast System 72-hour accumulated precipitation forecast (inches) valid 12 UTC Feb 9 2017, and percentile relative to 21 December to 21 March 1985-2012 CFS-R climatology.
File Name:
gefs_2017020400_west_mcliqpf_72h_SFC_132.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
108-hour precipitable water forecast (inches) and climatological percentile relative to 29 January to 19 February M-Climatology
File Name:
gefs_2017020400_west_mpctl_pwat_SFC_108.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
12 UTC 4 February Global Ensemble Forecast System 72-hour accumulated precipitation forecast (inches) valid 12 UTC Feb 9 2017, and percentile relative to 21 December to 21 March 1985-2012 GEFS-M climatology.
File Name:
gefs_2017020412_west_mcliqpf_72h_SFC_120.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
96-hr precipitable water forecast (inches) and climatological percentile from relative to 29 January to 19 February M-Climatology 1985-2012 M-Climate, from 12 UTC 4 February North American Ensemble Forecast System run.
File Name:
gefs_2017020412_west_mpctl_pwat_SFC_96.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
00 UTC 5 February Global Ensemble Forecast System 72-hour accumulated precipitation forecast (inches) valid 12 UTC Feb 9 2017, and percentile relative to 22 December to 22 March 1985-2012 GEFS-M climatology.
File Name:
gefs_2017020500_west_mcliqpf_72h_SFC_108.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
84-hr precipitable water forecast (inches) and climatological percentile from relative to 29 January to 19 February M-Climatology, from 00 UTC 5 February North American Ensemble Forecast System run.
File Name:
gefs_2017020500_west_mpctl_pwat_SFC_84.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
12 UTC 5 February Global Ensemble Forecast System 72-hour accumulated precipitation forecast (inches) valid 12 UTC Feb 9 2017, and percentile relative to 22 December to 22 March 1985-2012 model climatology.
File Name:
gefs_2017020512_west_mcliqpf_72h_SFC_96.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
72-hr precipitable water forecast (inches) and climatological percentile from relative to 29 January to 19 February M-Climatology, from 12 UTC 5 February North American Ensemble Forecast System run.
File Name:
gefs_2017020512_west_mpctl_pwat_SFC_72.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
00 UTC 21 April 2017 Global Ensemble Forecast System 72-hour accumulated precipitation forecast (inches) valid 12 UTC Feb 9 2017, and percentile relative to GEFS reforecasts from 07 March to 05 June 1985 - 2012.
File Name:
gefs_2017042100_west_mcliqpf_72h_SFC_144.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
00 UTC 25 April 2017 six-hour forecast of precipitable water, with percentile ranking relative to model climate from 1985-2012
File Name:
gefs_2017042500_west_mpctl_pwat_SFC_6.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing GEFS M-Climate Anomaly ESAT, 120-hour forecast projection for SLP selected, M-Climate Anomaly data plot
File Name:
GEFS_MClimAnomSLP.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing GEFS M-Climate Anomaly ESAT, 120-hour forecast projection for SLP selected, M-Climate Anomaly data plot, without annotations (for question).
File Name:
GEFS_MClimAnomSLP_quest.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing GEFS M-Climate Return intervals for SLP over the Northeastern U.S. and 120-hour forecast of SLPs
File Name:
GEFS_MClimRtnIntSLP.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble Situational Awareness Table showing GEFS M-Climate Return intervals for SLP over the Northeastern U.S. and 120-hour forecast of SLPs
File Name:
GEFS_MClimRtnIntSLP_quest.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Mean CDF with mean = 0 and standard deviation = 1
File Name:
mean_CDF.jpg
Credits:
©The COMET Program
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
NAEFs 100th-percentile verification, precipitable water, North American domain, 30 January - 30 Apr 2017
File Name:
NAEFS_100pctverif_01302017_04302017_pw.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
NAEFs 100th-percentile verifcation, precipitable water, North American domain, 30 January - 30 April 2017, annotated
File Name:
NAEFS_100pctverif_01302017_04302017_PWans.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Ensemble mean verification of 850-hPa temperature from 30 June 2016 through 25 June 2017
File Name:
naefs_ens_mean_verif_850T_20160630_20170625.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Annotated answer to question on ensemble mean verification of 850-hPa temperature from 30 June 2016 through 25 June 2017
File Name:
naefs_ens_mean_verif_850T_20160630_20170625ans.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
NAEFS Ensemble Mean Verification - North America Domain, Precipitable Water, 11/06/2016 - 05/05/2017
File Name:
naefs_ens_mean_verif_pw_11062016_05052017.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
NAEFs zero-percentile fcst verification, North American domain, 1 Nov 2016 - 30 Apr 2017, MSL pressure
File Name:
NAEFS_zeropctile_11012016_04302017_MSLP.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Annotated NAEFs zero-percentile fcst verification, North American domain, 1 Nov 2016 - 30 Apr 2017, MSL pressure
File Name:
NAEFS_zeropctverif_11012016_04302017_MSLPannot.jpg
Credits:
NOAA/NWS
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Mean PDF with mean = 0 and standard deviation = 1
File Name:
normal_PDF.jpg
Credits:
©The COMET Program
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
Hypothetical Climate Forecast System Reanalysis values at a point over a time period, with one model reforecast started from an example time in the reanalysis.
File Name:
reanal_v_reforecast_climos.jpg
Credits:
©The COMET Program
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use
Description:
A set of multiyear reforecasts for the same day of the year (18 UTC 4 April), and the reforecast climatology for that date.
File Name:
reforecast_and_climo.jpg
Credits:
©The COMET Program
Copyright Terms:
COMET Standard Terms of Use