Spread-bias Diagram: Lead Hour 30

At a 30 hour lead time, QPF is starting to result in more spread in the hydrologic forecasts. But we still have significant underspread with overforecasting on the low end and underforecasting on the high end. Only about 30% of observations fall within the ensemble spread.

Spread-Bias Diagram for the 30-hour Lead Time Hydrologic Forecast at Newport