Intelligent Use of Model-Derived Products

Intelligent Use of Model-Derived Products
NOTE: This module has been updated to 'Intelligent Use of Model-Derived Products - version 2' and can be found at http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/model_derivedproducts This module was developed and released in three sections: Postprocessing/Products, Statistical Guidance, and Assessment Tools. Specific topics covered include the impact of postprocessing and how to account for it, the statistical methods used to enhance raw model output including how statistical guidance products like MOS are generated, as well as NWP verification methodologies and use of daily model diagnostics. The subject matter expert for this module is Dr. Ralph Petersen of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Environmental Modeling Center (NCEP/EMC), and J. Paul Dallavalle of the National Weather Service (NWS), Meteorological Development Laboratory, Statistical Modeling Branch (MDL/SMB). The primary content author was Kirby Cook, NWS, Western Region Headquarters (WRH)/Scientific Services Division (SSD).