Understanding the Role of Deterministic versus Probabilistic NWP Information

Understanding the Role of Deterministic versus Probabilistic NWP Information
At the end of this lesson you will be able to:
  1. Compare and contrast deterministic versus probabilistic NWP products
  2. Describe strengths and limitations of probabilistic products in model forecast assessment
  3. Differentiate between high and low uncertainty situations using an ensemble forecast system in the forecast process
  4. Use appropriate probabilistic products to determine the degree of certainty in a given NWP forecast cycle