Introduction to Ensemble Prediction
-
- Languages: English
- Publish Date: 2005-06-27
- Skill Level: 2
- Completion Time: .75 - 1.00 h
- Includes Audio: yes
- Required Plugins: Flash
- Topics:
Numerical Modeling (NWP) - Included in Courses:
Pacific Desk Preparation (Level 2): Overview of Tropical Meteorology -
Overall Rating:
(111 ratings)
Read or add reviews
-
- Begin Lesson
- Your Queue»
-
- Take the quiz?
- Share this resource:
This webcast is a shorter companion to the Ensemble Prediction Explained module, focusing more directly on immediate operational needs. Introductory content includes the role of ensemble forecasts, presentation of basic ensemble forecasting terms, and discussion of how ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are created. The largest section is focused on common ensemble forecast products, including how they differ from traditional NWP products, how we interpret ensemble forecast products, the advantages and limitations of each product, how EPS products are verified, and how to use ensemble products in conjunction with one another to increase your understanding of forecast uncertainty. Finally, three brief cases from cold and warm seasons illustrate the use of ensemble products in the forecast process.
