Web-Based Ensemble Tools: Ensemble Situational Awareness Table

Web-Based Ensemble Tools: Ensemble Situational Awareness Table

After completing the lesson, you should be able to:

  • Describe how ensemble tools are used to support the assessment of extreme weather event forecasts.
  • Describe the ESAT, including data sources, forecast elements, and pressure levels
  • Describe the ESAT products and the statistical concepts and definitions needed to make intelligent use of ensemble tools, including:
    • Probability in the context of integrating ensembles in the forecast process
    • Reanalysis and R-Climate, and reforecasting and M-Climate, and their use in predicting extreme events
    • Verification of probabilistic forecast products, which involves interpreting reliability diagrams