Using the Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS)

Using the Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS)
  • Describe the need for ensemble forecast information in hydrology
  • Compare and contrast the ensemble forecasts to single-valued forecasts
  • Illustrate how an ensemble of forecasts informs the HEFS probabilistic guidance
  • Describe the major sources of uncertainty in HEFS (forcing vs hydro model)
  • Identify the main functions for different components of the HEFS
  • Describe the advantages of the HEFS over ESP
  • Interpret HEFS products