Forecasting: Uncertainty
It's Later than You Think


As shown in the figure to the right, the eye of a hurricane is 500 miles due east of Ocean City, MD, and the storm is traveling at 15 mph. Landfall is expected in 33 hours. If the speed stays the same, but the track changes to northwest, will the time to landfall at Newport, RI change?

  1. No, landfall will still be about 33 hours.
  2. Yes, the time to landfall will increase.
  3. Yes, the time to landfall will decrease.