Fundamentos de EPS y caso de estudio

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  • Teoría básica de sistemas de predicción por conjuntos (EPS)
    

    Languages: Spanish, English, French
    Publish Date: 2017-11-07
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: .50 - .75 h
    Topics:
    Numerical Modeling (NWP)
    (64 ratings)

  • This lesson introduces the concepts needed to understand and use ensemble prediction system (EPS) products. It describes basic statistical quantities and methods used to develop EPS products, such as probability distribution functions (PDFs) and cumulative distribution ... Read more »

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  • Guía de referencia para los productos de los sistemas de predicción por conjuntos (EPS)
    Optional

    Languages: Spanish, English, French
    Publish Date: 2017-11-07
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: 2.00 - 3.00 h
    Topics:
    Numerical Modeling (NWP)
    (1 rating)

  • The EPS Products Reference Guide provides information about nine commonly used ensemble prediction system (EPS) products. Each has a description, tips for interpreting and using it effectively, a list of its strengths and weaknesses, and practice exercises. The Guide is ... Read more »

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  • Cómo comunicar la incertidumbre de las predicciones, caso europeo
    

    Languages: Spanish, English
    Publish Date: 2018-08-09
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: .75 - 1.00 h
    Topics:
    Numerical Modeling (NWP), Winter Weather
    (28 ratings)

  • This lesson is a follow-on to COMET’s Communicating Forecast Uncertainty lesson, which introduces research findings on the effective communication of uncertainty information and enables learners to apply them to a North American case. This lesson focuses on a European ... Read more »

Casos de estudio regionales

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  • Cómo comunicar la incertidumbre de las predicciones
    Optional

    Languages: Spanish, English, French
    Publish Date: 2018-07-25
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: 1.50 - 2.00 h
    Topics:
    Emergency Management, Environment and Society, Mesoscale Meteorology, Numerical Modeling (NWP)
    (23 ratings)

  • This scenario-based lesson introduces the topic of communicating forecast uncertainty to decision-makers, such as emergency managers, related industry professionals, the public, and other end-users. In a case that spans the lesson, learners begin by developing a forecast ... Read more »

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  • Interpreting and Communicating EPS Guidance: Germany Winter Event
    Optional

    Languages: English
    Publish Date: 2019-03-21
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: .75 - 1.00 h
    Topics:
    Mesoscale Meteorology, Numerical Modeling (NWP), QPF/QPE (Precip), Winter Weather
    (50 ratings)

  • This 45-minute lesson briefly introduces learners to the benefits of using probabilistic forecast information to assess weather and communicate forecast uncertainties. Learners will explore a winter weather event in Germany and practice synthesizing deterministic and ... Read more »

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  • Cómo interpretar y comunicar la información de guía de los sistemas EPS: ola de calor en la península ibérica
    Optional

    Languages: Spanish, English
    Publish Date: 2018-12-18
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: 1.00 - 1.25 h
    Topics:
    Environment and Society, Mesoscale Meteorology, Numerical Modeling (NWP)
    (7 ratings)

  • This 45-minute lesson briefly introduces learners to the benefits of using probabilistic forecast information to assess the weather and communicate forecast uncertainties. Learners will explore a heat wave event in Spain and practice interpreting EPS forecast products ... Read more »

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  • Interpreting and Communicating EPS Guidance: British Columbia Winter Storm
    Optional

    Languages: English, French
    Publish Date: 2018-03-30
    Skill Level: 2
    Completion Time: .75 - 1.00 h
    Topics:
    Numerical Modeling (NWP), Winter Weather
    (56 ratings)

  • This 45-minute lesson provides an opportunity to use ensemble prediction system products to evaluate uncertainty in the forecast and then communicate that information effectively to a public audience. The lesson places learners in the role of a Meteorological Service of ... Read more »