Interpretation of Global Model Forecast "Flipflops"

MENU:

Introduction

Case 1: Forecasts from 8-9 April 2002 verifying at 12z 11 April 2002

• Operational Forecasts

• Ensemble forecasts

Case 2: Forecasts from 8-9 April 2002 verifying at 12z 16 April 2002

Discussion and conclusions

Background on ensemble prediction:

Pete Manousos' ensemble web page

Ensemble teletraining

Background on data assimilation:
COMET NWP module