Eta-12 Forecast of Historic Lake Effect Snows in Buffalo, NY:
Dec. 24-26, 2001

 

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Introduction

Pre-Storm Scenario

Description of event

Eta-12 00-36h Forecast, 00 UTC 24 December 2001

• Successes of forecast

• Limitations of forecast

• Verification after 36 hours

Conclusions

General background on models:

• How Models Produce Precipitation and Clouds
• Model Structure and Dynamics

Specific model background:

• Eta Precipitation and Clouds Parameterization
• Eta Convective Parameterization
• Eta Horizontal Resolution
• Eta Vertical Resolution

Background on lake effect snow:

Dr. Greg Byrd's presentation on Lake-Effect Snow (June 3, 1998) and references therein